1. The
‘Humanized’ internet
“The
evolution of modern connectivity is often summarized as: the internet – the
world wide web – mobile devices – big data/the cloud – the internet of things.
For the next stage, it seems inevitable that even more personalization will be
an important component. What we refer to as the internet of things will be
central. However, more than simply connecting humans with devices, the next
stage in connectivity will include “humanized” interfaces that constantly
evolve to understand the user’s patterns and needs and, in a sense,
self-optimize. This would include the functions and features on our devices, as
well as the selection/curation of information we receive. It may not be the
kind of artificial intelligence found in science fiction, but I expect this injection
of personalization will bring monumental changes as our level of connectivity
continues to grow.” Sir goo Lee, co-CEO of Kakao
Pertumbuhan internet yang begitu cepat dengan semakin mutakhirnya
device yang dibuat manusia akan membuat masyarakat semakin mudah dalam
melakukan kehidupan sehari-hari. Hal ini akan memicu berbagai korporasi untuk
melakukan digitalisasi pada semua aspek bisnis mereka termasuk layanan yang
mereka sediakan ke public. Hal ini akan membuat ‘Humanized internet menjadi
suatu yang sangat dibutuhkan oleh korporasi untuk mengatahui kebutuhan
masarakat. Kedepanya produk yang bagus akan lebih ditentukan oleh konsumen,
sehingga humanized internet menjadi hal yang sangat vital untuk menjawab
keinginan masyarakat.
2.
The
end of 19th-century grid
“One of the biggest
changes we will see (or at least have made substantial progress towards) by
2020 is global electrification. In the US and Europe, most people take
electricity for granted. But that is not the case in many parts of Latin
America, Africa and Asia. More than 1.3 billion people still aren’t connected
to the grid. More than 1.5 billion still don’t have regular access to electric
light: they use oil lamps, which are a safety hazard. Even where the grid
exists, it’s fragile: power blackouts are a major problem in many megacities.
Power theft also plagues Brazil, India and South Africa. Safe, reliable power
will have a transformative effect on these countries. Not only will there be
near-term benefits such as greater productivity, but we will see long-term
quantum leaps in educational achievement, healthcare and quality of life. These
communities don’t have power now because our 19th-century grid is too
expensive. The advent of new technologies is changing both the business models
and use-case scenarios to make it possible. In a few years, the world will
finally, truly, be wired.” Amit Narayan,
CEO of AutoGrid
Walaupun diberbagai negara koneksi internet dan listrik sudah merupakan
hal yang pasti bisa didapatkan oleh masyarakat, tapi hal itu tidak berlaku
untuk berbagai negara berkembang yang masih belum bisa memenuhi kebutuhan
listrik untuk semua warganya, termasuk Indoensia yang listriknya yang masih
byar pet. Salah satu hal yang menjadi kendala konektivitas listrik adalah
mahalanya pembangunan infrastrukstur untuk membangun grid listrik secara
terpadu dalam suatu negara. Teknologi grid saat ini masih menggunakan teknologi
abad 19 yang masih tergolong mahal. Dengan perkembangan teknoligi material,
kedepanya pada tahun 2020 akan ada alternative lebih murah untuk membangun
jaringan listrik. Jika tidak langsung terpenuhi tahun 2020, paling tidak 2020
akan menjadi awal untuk memuali hal itu.
3.
The
end of scarcity
The world said humans
were not meant to fly. Hundreds of years of human invention had been unable to
make it work. But in a small bicycle-repair shop, two brothers with no
government funding and only a basic education had a vision, and a will to
invent. And in 1903, thanks to the determination of these two unsuspecting
inventors, humans flew. The distance of the first human flight was 120 ft.
Years later, one of the inventors of that breakthrough would marvel that the
wingspan of modern airplanes was longer than the entire distance his first
plane had flown. The potential of technology is limited only by our
imagination, and our will. Abundance of water, food, clean air … peace: the end
of scarcity in the supply of our basic needs is possible. Perhaps not by 2020,
but it starts with the dream, the determination to turn dreams into reality,
and the understanding of this truth, so well embodied in the invention and
rapid evolution of human flight: that all things are possible. Mark Herrema, CEO of Newlight Technologies
4.
Fewer
fancy phone, more fulfilment
The world many of us
live in is changing at an exciting pace. Innovations are generating new
gadgets, more convenient services and greater opportunities. But many of these
changes target a small percentage of the globe’s population. In the villages
I’ve worked in, nobody has seen an iPhone or can download an app. However,
there is tremendous room for entrepreneurs to adapt innovations intended for
the wealthy to serve the world’s poor. Solar panels and LED lights, designed
for sale in rich nations, are stimulating growth in commercial off-grid
electrification in India and Africa. Mobile telecommunication is being used to
facilitate financial inclusion in developing countries across the world.
Once-expensive medical procedures can be done amazingly cheaply. Even the
financial sector is innovating in order to reach the world’s poor; as well as
investors looking for opportunities that not only help them increase their net
worth but also improve the world. Better financing opportunities are opening up
for social entrepreneurs who build businesses to serve the poor profitably. I
see a slight but significant shift in innovation, that instead of producing
fancier phones, we will create more fulfilling lives for people who have been
mostly ignored to date. Nikhil
Jaisinghani, co-founder, Mera Gao Power
5.
Cheaper
more widespread solar power
By 2020, solar
technologies could account for a significant portion of global power
generation, helping economies and businesses guard against rising energy costs
and the impact of climate change. However, finding opportunities to further
reduce the cost of solar technologies will be key to unlocking this potential.
Because polysilicon, the primary raw material used by solar module
manufacturers, is the single largest cost in the solar supply chain, it
represents the most significant opportunity for cost reduction. Over the next
several years, new lower-cost methods of polysilicon production will
commercialize, providing the solar industry with a more affordable source of
raw material. In turn, these cost improvements will trickle down throughout the
solar supply chain, accelerating the adoption of solar energy around the world
and helping the industry realize its global potential. Terry Jester, CEO of Silicor
6.
Internet
of things no longer about things
Just about every
business will become an internet of things (IoT) business. The convergence of
the digital and physical worlds makes this inevitable. When the products
companies sell are connected 24/7/365, dynamic and ever-improving value can be
delivered to customers throughout the product’s life cycle. This will become
the norm. Therefore, launching a successful IoT business requires a fundamental
shift, a transition from product-centric to service-centric business models.
Companies looking to capitalize on IoT will become IoT service businesses.
Operations dependent on one-time product sales will become obsolete as business
value moves from products to the experiences they enable. This transformation
will fundamentally change how businesses operate, interact with customers and
make money. Those who recognize that the internet of things isn’t about things
but about service will be positioned to meet these new customer demands, unlock
new sources of revenue and thrive in this connected world. Jahangir Mohammed, CEO of Jasper Technologies, Inc
7.
New
cure from bacteria that live in the human body
n life sciences, we’ll
have greater understanding of the dynamics of how our microbiome – the tiny
organisms, including bacteria, that live in the human body – influences multiple
systems in our body, including our immune systems, metabolic processes and
other areas. This will result in seminal discoveries related to a variety of
conditions, including autoimmune diseases, pre-term birth and how our
metabolism is regulated. Regenerative medicine approaches to creating new
tissues and organs from progenitor cells will expand significantly. Finally,
the long-awaited ability to employ precision medicine, providing specific
treatments to a specific patients, will become much more common. Mark Fischer-Colbrie, CEO of Labcyte Inc
8.
The
beginning of the end for cancer
The emergence of
real-time diagnostics for complex diseases will mark the beginning of the end
of their debilitating reign by 2020. The ability to monitor cancer, the dynamic
immune system, intestinal flora and pre-diabetes in real-time will change the
nature of medicine and usher in a new era of human health where wellness is
protected versus illness treated. As a result, fundamental shifts in healthcare
will occur, causing it to become largely preventative rather than
fire-fighting. It’s far more productive and economical to stop a fire from
happening in the first place than to rebuild something after the fire has taken
its course. Helmy Eltoukhy, CEO of Guardant Health
9.
Data
driven healthcare
The amount of data
available in the world is growing exponentially, and analyzing large data sets
(so-called big data) is becoming key for market analysis and competition.
Analytics will dramatically shift away from reporting and towards predictive
and prescriptive practices, dramatically improving the ability of healthcare
providers to help the ill and injured. Even more importantly, it will create
the possibility for truly personalized healthcare by allowing providers to
impact the biggest determinants of health, including behaviours, genetics and
environmental factors. John L Haughom, MD, senior advisor, Health Catalyst
10.
Printable
organ
Today, we are already
at a turning point in our ability to 3D “bioprint” organ tissues, a process
that involves depositing a “bio-ink” made of cells precisely in layers,
resulting in a functional living human tissue for use in the lab. These tissues
should be better predictors of drug function than animal models in many cases.
In the long-term, this has the potential to pave the way to “printing” human
organs, such as kidneys, livers and hearts. By 2020, our goal is to have the
technology be broadly used by pharmaceutical companies, resulting in the
identification of safer and better drug candidates and fewer failures in
clinical trials. Keith Murphy, CEO of Organovo
11.
The
‘Internet of everywhere
We are on the verge of
the “internet of everywhere”. It will be far more democratic: accessible to
everyone, rich and poor. The excitement of the internet of things will be a
small footnote in history as the internet of everywhere becomes our reality. Do
you remember the old movie,Minority Report, with Tom Cruise? Ultra cheap, internet-enabled
solar-powered screens that display in HDTV resolution will be on bus stops, in
shopping centres, at tables in restaurants – all operating on a centralized
advertising model. Gone are the days of the static acetate poster on the wall
of a shopping mall. And finally, since these HD monitors have beacons, they
will dynamically change content as your phone passes by, telling the monitor
all your preferences. Yobie Benjamin, COO of Avegant
12.
Renewable
will power mobile networks
We have become
dependent on mobile communications in our daily lives, but the dirty secret is
that mobile networks around the globe are notoriously energy inefficient. In
fact, we are stuck with outdated mobile network technology that basically
performs as poorly as incandescent lightbulbs, with the result that 70% of the
energy used is wasted as heat. By 2020, we predict that pioneering innovations
in radio engineering will have a positive impact on the world’s economy,
environment and quality of life. We even foresee a time when advances allow
renewable energy to power the mobile industry, helping bridge the digital
divide and extend communications to the 1.7 billion people living off-grid. Mattias Astrom, CEO, Eta Devices
13.
Learning
on the job will never stop
The
skills gap is actually an information gap. The problem is not that
workers are unskilled; it’s that workers don’t know what
skills employers need. Technology is already disrupting existing jobs, and
creating new jobs that never existed before. In fact, the top 10 in-demand jobs
in 2010 did not even exist in 2004. Change is happening so rapidly that 65
percent of today’s grade school kids in the U.S. will end up at
jobs that haven’t even been invented yet.
How will our
education institutions keep up? Today, there is a disconnect between
education providers and employers.
In the future, however, technology will
enable education and training to respond dynamically to real-time labor market
changes. With widespread access to training and courses online and available
on-demand, workers can be informed of skill updates while they work, and will
regularly top up their education with the skills they need to remain relevant
in the workforce. Alexis Ringwald, Cofounder and CEO, LearnUp
14.
Wastewater
is an asset not a liability
Water
is one of our most precious resources, yet our infrastructure is failing.
Driven by global population growth and rising water scarcity, the UN reports
that 75 percent of the world’s available freshwater is already polluted.
Under-investment in water management is exacerbating the problem, causing
serious impacts on human health and the environment. A
key challenge is the high capital cost, and high energy requirements,
of current wastewater treatment and management systems.
By 2020 I
predict that a new class of distributed systems, powered by advances in our
ability to use biotechnology to extract resources, such as energy, from waste,
and the dropping cost of industrial automation, will begin to change our
approach to managing water globally. Rather than a liability, wastewater will
be viewed as an environmental resource, providing energy and clean water
to communities and industry, and ushering in a truly sustainable and economical
approach to managing our water resources. Matthew Silver, CEO of Cambrian Innovation
artikel asli dapat anda lihat di:
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2014/08/14-technology-predictions-2020/
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